Who will make the College Football Playoff?

by Ricardo Gutierrez - With help from the Allstate Playoff Predictor, you can play out the 2022 season and see how likely it is that top contenders will reach the College Football Playoff.

Who will make the College Football Playoff? The Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season's College Football Playoff. 9/7/2022 Even though Alabama and Georgia cruised, Ohio State rallied past Notre Dame and unranked Florida beat top-10 Utah in a wild Week 1. If you think you know who will make the College Football Playoff, think again. For the past eight years, the Allstate Playoff Predictor has been painting a week-to-week picture of which teams have a realistic chance to be one of the four in the College Football Playoff, and overall, it has been pretty accurate, if we do say so ourselves. All eight champions were given at least a 65% chance to make the CFP before their championship season even began. Using that stat and the criteria below to set the table, we give you the chance to pick a team and decide how its season will pan out. According to your choices, the Allstate Playoff Predictor will determine how likely that team is to be one of the four CFP semifinalists. Teams with less than a 2% chance to make the CFP are not included. Choose one team These are the 13 teams with the highest percent chance to make the CFP, ordered from most to least likely. How does {selected-team} finish the remainder of the regular season? No team has ever made it to the playoff with more than one loss. Two-loss teams have an outside chance, but three or more losses all but exclude a team from the playoff, so that option isn't on the table. Which {team-value} does {selected-team} lose to? The three toughest opponents on the schedule are listed here with the percentage chance {selected-team} wins. Choose {team-count}. Does {selected-team} win its conference title game? The College Football Playoff committee greatly values conference championships (27 of 32 CFP selections have been conference champs), but it's not a requirement. {selected-team}'s Chances If the season plays out exactly as you've selected, the Allstate Playoff Predictor says this is your postseason outlook. Sorry, this scenario either isn't possible or did not play out in enough of the 200,000 simulations run by the Allstate Playoff Predictor to be analyzed. Make Playoff Win Championship ��% These are your team's chances to win every game left on its schedule, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor. Matchup Date Win % Week 2 games that matter to the CFP race Will Notre Dame rebound? Can Steve Sarkisian, Quinn Ewers and Texas prove themselves against Nick Saban and Alabama? There's only one way to find out. Win % Matchup Win % 82 September 10, 2022 VS 12:00 PM on FOX 18 11 September 10, 2022 VS 2:30 PM on NBC 89 58 September 10, 2022 VS 10:15 PM on ESPN 42 Run the numbers again Edited by Matt Eisenberg Produced by ESPN Creative Studio: Heather Donahue, Jarret Gabel, Alecia Hamm, Lori Higginbotham and Sarah Pezzullo. ESPN Analytics: Matt Morris, Lauren Poe and Mitchell Wesson. Related Stories